Fnatic vs mousesports

fnatic ranked #5 from Sweden are clashing against team mousesports ranked #4 from Europe (mix of players) in the ESL Pro League Season 11 Europe that has 18 teams competing for the prize pool of $531,000. This tournament is played online.

This is the best of 5 *Grand-Final type of match.

Map highlights for fnatic in the previous three months: Dust2 is at 75,0% win rate on eight played maps - WON/TIED/LOST - 6/0/2, Inferno 75,0% on 12 played maps 9/0/3, Nuke 75,0% on four played maps 3/0/1, Mirage 60,0% on ten played maps 6/0/4, Train 50,0% on two played maps 1/0/1, Overpass 42,9% on seven played maps 3/0/4, and Vertigo with 33,3% win rate on three played maps 1/0/2.

They played 16 maps in April and won 11, converted, they played six matches and won five. During March, they played 18 maps and won 11; in other words, they played seven games and won five. During February, they played 12 maps and won seven, converted, they played five games and won three.

Map performance for mousesports in the last three months: Mirage is at 100,0% win rate on three played maps - WIN/DREW/LOSS - 3/0/0, Dust2 83,3% on 12 played maps 10/0/2, Train 70,0% on ten played maps 7/0/3, Vertigo 66,7% on three played maps 2/0/1, Nuke 63,6% on 11 played maps 7/0/4, and Inferno with 37,5% win rate on eight played maps 3/0/5.

They played 18 maps in April and won 12, converted, they played 11 games and won eight. During March they playing eight maps and won five, in other words, they played three matches and won two. In February, they played 21 maps and won 15, converted, they played eight games and won six.

OK, so fnatic finished Stage 1 being 2nd in Group B with three wins two losses and +4 round difference, and after that, they finished Stage 2 being 1st with four wins one loss and +26 round difference. On the other side, we have mousesports who finished Stage 1 as 1st placed in Group C with four wins, one loss, and +9 round difference, and after that, they fell a bit with being 3rd during Stage 2 with three wins, two losses, and -12 round difference. Being 3rd they had to pass one more match in *Semi-final against the amazing Astralis where they won 2-1 (19-17 on Dust2, 5-16 on Inferno, and 16-12 on Nuke). The odds for fnatic are around 1,90 while for mousesports they are 1,80. The head-to-head score is 2-3 in favor of mousesports, but the last match was won by fnatic 2-0 just four days ago (16-13 on Inferno, and 16-7 on Nuke). So fnatic won four out of the last five matches while mousesports won three out of five matches, but mousesports are ranked one spot above them on the global ladder. Average rounds lost in wins for fnatic is 9,90, while for mousesports it is 10,72. Average rounds won in losses for fnatic is 10,47, while for mousesports it is 7,29. This score goes 2-0 in favor of fnatic. fnatic first pick is their Inferno where they have 5 map winning streak and 75% win rating on 12 played maps, while their first ban is Vertigo where they have a 33% win rate. For mousesports their first pick is Train where they have 70% win rating on ten played maps, and their first ban is Overpass, where they have 0% win rate on no played maps, so they ban it pretty hard. fnatic is 6th TOP team on this tournament so far with 1,06 rating on 29 played maps, while mousesports are not even in the TOP eight. TOP players list doesn't have any played from these two teams. Distribution of played maps so far is Dust2 x32, Nuke x31, Inferno x30, Mirage x21, Train x17, Overpass x16, and Vertigo x10, and this benefits fnatic a bit more sincve they have better stats overall on Inferno and Nuke.

I mean, when i bet against fnatic i always foking lose, so yeah, it is a bit frustrating i can tell you. I will most definitely go with over 3,5 maps, but i will add a fnatic to win.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!