Movistar Riders vs Team Heretics

Movistar Riders ranked #35 from Spain in the Heretics ranked #43 from France in the Cyber.Bet Cup that has eight teams competing for the prize pool of $10,000. This tournament is played online, and this is the best of 3 grand final type of match.

Map performance for Movistar Riders in the last three months: Overpass is at 63,6% win rate on 11 played maps - WIN/TIE/LOSS - 7/0/4, Inferno 58,3% on 12 played maps 7/0/5, Mirage 54,5% on 11 played maps 6/0/5, Nuke 37,5% on eight played maps 3/0/5, Train 25,0% on eight played maps 2/0/6, and Vertigo with 0,0% win rate on two played maps 0/0/2.

They played ten maps in April and won six, converted, they played five matches and won three. In March, they played 18 maps and won eight; in other words, they played ten games and won five. During February, they played 23 maps and won 11, converted, they played 15 games and won seven. In January, they had only one game, which they won against AVEZ on Nuke with 8-16.

Map highlights for Heretics in the previous three months: Dust2 is at 100,0% win rate on five played maps - WON/DREW/LOST - 5/0/0, Vertigo 100,0% on four played maps 4/0/0, Mirage 75,0% on four played maps 3/0/1, Nuke 75,0% on four played maps 3/0/1, Overpass 66,7% on three played maps 2/0/1, Inferno 42,9% on seven played maps 3/0/4, and Train with 0,0% win rate on one played map 0/0/1.

They played 11 maps in April and won ten, converted, they played five matches and won fall five. During March they played four maps and won all four, in other words, they played two games, and they won both. In February, they played ten maps and won five, converted, they played four games and won two. In January, they played one game, and they lost it to Gambit Youngsters with 1-2 (16-14 on Dust2, 14-16 on Inferno, and 23-25 on Overpass).

OK, so Movistar Riders are 1st in Group A with two wins and +24 round difference, while Heretics also finished as 1st in Group B with two wins and +32 round difference. MR first match during playoffs was against Syman where they won 2-0 (16-7 on Overpass, and 16-13 on Train), while for Heretics, it was NAVI Junior where they also won 2-0 (16-11 on Vertigo, and 16-12 on Mirage). The odds favor Heretics with 1,60 while for MR they are around 2,20, let's see why: Heretics won last five out of five matches, while Movistar Riders won three out of five. We also have to notice that Heretics have ranked #8 places below Movistar Riders and that their player "nivera" played less than five matches with the core team.

The interesting thing is that all ten players have a big boost in their individual rating in the last three months, with all ten going over 1,05 rating. Average round lost in wins for MR 11,39 while for Heretics, it is 11,05, and average rounds won in losses for MR it is 10,82 while for Heretics, it is 12,75. The score here is 0-2 in favor of Heretics. So map stats are almost default; for Movistar Riders their first ban is Dust2, where they have 0% win rate, so they mostly permaban it, and their first pick is Overpass where they have 64% win rate. For Heretics, their first ban is Train, where they have a 0% win rate, they also permaban it. But Heretics have 5 maps winning streak on D2, and 4 maps winning streak on Vertigo, so it will be interesting to see who plays how and on what map. The head-to-head score is 2-4 in favor of Heretics. I think this is an easy win for Heretics.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!