SKADE vs Sprout

SKADE ranked #39 from Bulgaria are clashing against Sprout ranked #36 from Germany in the Home Sweet Home Cup that has 16 teams competing for the prize pool of $40,000. This tournament is played online, and this is the best of 3 quarter-final type of match.

Map performance in the last three months for team SKADE: Overpass is at 88,9% win rate on nine played maps 8/0/1, Inferno 81,8% on 22 played maps 18/0/4, Dust2 61,5% on 13 played maps 8/0/5, Mirage 60,0% on ten played maps 6/0/4, Train 47,1% on 17 played maps 8/0/9, and Nuke with 36,8% win rate on 19 played maps 7/0/12.

They played 19 maps in April and won 14, converted, they played seven matches and won all seven. During March, they played 22 maps and won 13; in other words, they played nine games and won six. In February, they played 21 maps and won 13, converted, they played 11 games and won seven. During January, they played 28 maps and won 14; in other words, they played 11 games and won seven.

Map highlights in the previous three months for team Sprout: Mirage is at 100,0% win rate on 12 played maps - WIN/TIE/LOSS - 12/0/0, Vertigo 75,0% on four played maps 3/0/1, Inferno 69,2% on 13 played maps 9/0/4, Train 66,7% on six played maps 4/0/2, Dust2 57,1% on seven played maps 4/0/3, Nuke 40,0% on ten played maps 4/0/6, and Overpass with 0,0% win rate on one played map 0/0/1.

They played nine maps in April and won eight, converted, they played five matches and won four. During March, they played 16 maps and won nine; in other words, they played 11 games and won six. In February, they played 16 maps and won 13, converted, they played 13 games and won 11. In January, they played 12 maps and won six, converted, they played six games and won three.

OK, so SKADE finished as 1st in Group B with two wins and +11 round difference while in Group C Spout finished as 2nd with two wins, one loss, and +14 round difference. The odds for SKADE are 2,10, while for Sprout, they are around 1.60, let's see why... SKADE are ranked two places below Sprout, SKADE won five/five matches while Sporut won four/five recently. Average rounds lost in wins for SKADE is 10,02 - 11,19 for Sprout, and average round won in losses for SKADE is 11,65 - 10,45 for Sprout. SKADE wins here with 2-0. Wow, the map stats look like this, for SKADE first ban is Vertigo, so it is for Sprout, but the first pick for SKADE is Inferno with an 82% win rate on 22 played maps where Sprout has 4 maps winning streak. The first pick for Sprout is Mirage, where they have a 100% win rate on 12 played maps and 12 maps winning streak, WOW! I will go with SKADE +1,5 map handicap; they have such good stats to miss out on this bet.

Good luck to all who bet, and may the odds be ever in your favor!