Team Liquid vs Evil Geniuses

Liquid ranked #6 from the United States are clashing against team Evil Geniuses ranked #7 also from the United States in the ESL Pro League Season 11 North America that has or had six teams clashing for the prize pool of $219,000. This tournament is played online, and this is the best of five Grand Final type of match.

Liquid has 1-0 advantage because they came from the upper bracket.

Map performance for Liquid in the last three months: Nuke is at 75,0% win rate on four played maps - WIN/DREW/LOSS - 3/0/1, Overpass 66,7% on three played maps 2/0/1, Vertigo 66,7% on six played maps 4/0/2, Inferno 60,0% on five played maps 3/0/2, Mirage 50,0% on six played maps 3/0/3, and Dust2 with 28,6% win rate on seven played maps 2/0/5.

They played five maps in April and won four, converted, they played two matches and won both. In March they played nine maps and won five, in other words, they played four games and won two. In February, they played 15 maps and won six, converted, they played seven games and won three. In January, they played only one game against MIBR and won 2-0 (22-19 on Vertigo, and 16-9 on Inferno).

Map highlights for Evil Geniuses in the previous three months: Train is at 75,0% win rate on four played maps - WON/TIE/LOST - 3/0/1, Vertigo 75,0% on four played maps 3/0/1, Inferno 66,7% on nine played maps 6/0/3, Nuke 44,4% on nine played maps 4/0/5, Dust2 33,3% on six played maps 2/0/4, Mirage 0,0% on two played maps 0/0/2, and Overpass with 0,0% win rate on only one played map 0/0/1.

They played 13 maps in April and won seven, converted; they played five matches and won three. During March, they played five maps and won three; in other words, they played two games and won one. In February, they played 17 maps and won eight, converted, they played six games and won two.

OK, so the odds for Liquid (who are leading 1-0) are around 1,20, while the odds for EG are around 4,00. During the group play, Liquid finished as 1st with three wins, two losses, and +21 round difference while EG finished just below them on the 2nd place with three wins, two losses, and barely positive round difference of +1. The head-to-head score is 4-0 in favor of Liquid. Liquid won three out of five last matches, while Evil Geniuses also won three out of five recent games. Liquid is ranked one placement, which is not too great, not too terrible. Four out of five Liquid players have a positive score in recent three months, while three out of five EG players have better ratings in the last three months. Average rounds lost in wins for Liquid is 12,00, while for EG it is 11,06, and average round won in losses for Liquid is 10,64, while for EG it is 11,88. The TOP team during this tourney so far is Liquid with 1,09 rating on 14 played maps while Evil Geniuses are 4th TOP team with 1,04 rating on 18 played maps. The TOP players for Liquid are Elige with 1,26 rating on 14 played maps and NAF with 1,20, while we have only Brehze on EG, who is 4th TOP player with 1,15 rating on 18 played maps. Most played maps on this event are Vertigo x10, Inferno x10, Nuke x7, Mirage x6, Train x5, Dust2 x4, and Overpass x2, this benefits EG a bit more since they have a better score on Vertigo, and Inferno. So, in the end, this is basically a Bo3, since Liquid has one map advantage, they only need two maps. Don't forget that Liquid lost to FURIA while EG won against them two times, so EG might really get that +1,5 map handicap. I will go with Liquid to win here and under 4,5 maps.

Good luck to all who bet, and don't forget to gamble responsibly!